市場予測、プラットナー氏のメイン州上院議員離脱は7月下旬までにほぼ確実

Prediction-market traders now see the withdrawal of Maine Democratic Senate nominee Graham Platner as close to inevitable within weeks, after a new allegation triggered a collapse in Democratic support. Contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi rapidly repriced his exit, the seat’s partisan odds, and even his likely replacement – each in a matter of hours. How […]